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Will Generals Tumukunde and Muntu deny Museveni a lion’s share of Western Uganda votes?

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Will Generals Muntu and Tumukunde give Museveni a run for his money?

The 2021 General Elections will see General Mugisha Muntu and Lt.Gen Henry Tumukunde, two men who were very central in the 1981-86 Bush War, challenging President Museveni for the country’s Number One job.

Gen Muntu, a former powerful Army Commander, and Lt Gen Tumukunde, an ex-Security Minister who also held different influential positions, both argue that President Museveni has since betrayed the ideals that inspired the Bush War and it’s now time up for him.

Gen Muntu will contest on the platform of the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT) while Lt Gen Tumukunde will contest under the auspices of a pressure group called Reformed Uganda aka “Kisoboka”.

President Museveni has never faced off with two generals in one election and it is no wonder that there is palpable unease within the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) and security circles over how the system should respond to the two-pronged challenge.

As a former Secretary for Mobilisation and President of the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC), Uganda’s leading opposition party, Gen Muntu boasts of support from structures that he helped nurture while still at the helm of the powerful party.

The General is also preferred by NRM moderates who posit that a post-Museveni transition requires an astute, and temperate political player who will not antagonise radically entrenched forces in the regime establishment.

The uncertainty about a post-Museveni Uganda plays into General Muntu’s hands.

Having served as Army Commander for a record 9 years, between 1989-1998,(only Gen Aronda Nyakairima(RIP) served longer),Gen Muntu maintains the respect of influential Generals, and that has been a particular cause of concern for the regime and security agencies.

Gen Muntu is also a darling of the influential donor community, which has long been impressed by his structured, grass-roots based, and all inclusive politics. The donor community views Gen Muntu as the perfect fit to healing a country fractured by years of lack of a peaceful transfer of power and burdened by the Museveni dictatorship.

And with Gen Muntu already giving the regime sleepless nights, the entry of Lt. Gen Tumukunde into the fray was the traditional adding of fuel to the fire.

Gen. Tumukunde needs little introduction. Those familiar with the machinations that went into over-drive in the 2016 elections say it would have been difficult for President Museveni to retain the presidency had it not been for the underground work of Gen Tumukunde.

Gen Tumukunde worked single-handedly to dismantle the structures of John Patrick Amama Mbabazi and secure the victory for President Museveni. Gen Tumukunde was the real cog behind the re-election of Museveni in 2016 and when he announced that he was now launching his own presidential bid, he sent shivers down the spine of NRM faithful.

He is also credited for his mobilization skills that without him and a few of his colleagues like the late Brig. Nobel Mayombo and to be precise like Speaker Rebecca Kadaga said, Museveni should have been sent home in 2001 if it was for Tumukunde and others who delivered a win for Yoweri Tibuhaburwa Museveni.

Security agencies have also been in over-drive mode in a bid to try and establish the veracity of claims that  Gen Tumukunde has the backing of wealthy donors both within and outside Uganda. However, Tumukunde has previously told Eagle Online with or without financial support from within and without, the struggle to remove Mr. Museveni starts with the determination of the power of Uganda who are pro-change.

Fears that Lt.Gen Tumukunde has the backing of wealthy individuals were behind the raid by security operatives on his offices in Kololo.

It is also proper to understand Gen. Tumukunde’s opposition to Museveni’s continued stay in power started in 2005 when still serving as an army representative in parliament opposed the amendment of the constitution to give himself limitless terms in office. it is from here that he was arraigned in a military court martial and for nine years, he was kept in a cage of the officers’ mesh.

Having served as an MP, Army MP, intelligence chief, Army Division commander, Lt Gen Tumukunde enjoys reasonable support from within the security agencies, another sub-plot that has created apprehension within the regime.

When nominations are concluded tomorrow and Gen Muntu and Gen Tumukunde are both on the ballot, President Museveni will have to contend with two challengers uniquely different from those he has previously handled.

However, with both coming from Museveni’s traditional home area of Ankole which has previously voted massively for Museveni in the previous elections, it is hard this time to ignore the two generals due to the fact that they are also homeboys like Museveni and secondly they both know tricks used to by Museveni to win the hearts of the electorates in the area.

Generals Tumukunde and Muntu like earlier indicated, both have been key to Museveni’s earlier entrenchment into power and therefore, they could be in the know on how to undo what they did for Museveni.

Tumukunde’s Rukungiri and other parts of Kigezi are already under the armpits of the opposition and as same can be said of Muntu’s Ntungamo despite the presence of First Lady, the area in 2016 voted for Gerald Karuhanga who is an opposition MP. So will the two army generals impact on Museveni’s 2021 election outcome?

 


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Source – eagle.co.ug

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Making sense of a thick neck Museveni cabinet

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President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni

 

 

A thick neck isn’t defined by a certain measurement. Rather, it’s measured in proportion to the rest of your body in terms of height, weight, and composition.

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Accordingly, the same description can be said of the latest cabinet reshuffle by President Yoweri Museveni.

The naming of former Chieftaincy of Military Intelligence operative and a one term Education Minister Maj. Jessica Alupo, Vice President and Robinah Nabanja, the Kakumiro district Woman Member of Parliament as Prime Minister perfectly suits the above description.

Politically both ladies are suitable for their positions but will they match the game of the day?  A quick look at Maj. Alupo, she has been politically struggling to make a return from political oblivion after she was beaten by Violet Akurut who defeated in 2016 Katakwi district Woman seat, Alupo, apart from her spying skills, she hasn’t gained much experience that comes with job of Vice President. Yes, she could be loyal to her party but in terms of real state craft, Alupo can’t match the likes of Prof. Gilbert Bukenya and Dr. Specioza Wandira Kazibwe. In picking Maj. Alupo, Museveni could have wanted to deflate Busoga politics by bringing in a Catholic and from Teso also in Eastern Region since the Teso overwhelming voted for him. Anyway, that said but what is the job of VP? And perhaps President Museveni wanted amuse the Iteso with presidency convoy that comes with VP status as described by Maj. John Kazoora in his book.

President Museveni talking to Akurut and Alupo at his campaign in Katakwi last year. (Picture by Godfrey Ojore /NV)

Enters Robinah Nabanja, the Kakumiro/ Kibaale iron lady, is a loyal servant of the National Resistance Movement (NRM) having started as a mobilizer, Resident District Commission to Member of Parliament, State Minister of Health in Charge of General Duties and now Prime Minister.

Nabanja is assertive and a go-getter. She is a mobilizer but little is known about her in matters of boardroom politics. The Office of the Prime is the second highest department in government after presidency, it is vital and coordinates key ministries and government agencies and therefore, with Nabanja being named PM, will she be up to the task given that the office she is given needs someone of a critical thinker and a leader?

The PM is the leader of government business in parliament and is mandated to coordinate all government interests. The previous PMs that have served in the same position have proven that indeed one must be equal to the task as demonstrated by late Prof. Apolo Nsibambi, John Patrick Amama Mbabazi and Ruhakana Rugunda. But it is never too late, let’s accord PM Nabanja her time.

 

Rebecca Kadaga as 1st Deputy PM and Busoga politics

Rebecca Kadaga

The former Speaker of Parliament Rebecca Kadaga has been nominated as 1st Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of East African Affairs. She takes over the affairs of the East African region. The slot of 1st Deputy Minister has been unoccupied with Ministry of East Affairs being run separately. She is deputy to Nabanja. However, her appointment is surprising given that she is a former Speaker, could it be that it was her own downplaying of VP position that Museveni didn’t name her VP?

Still in Busoga, Museveni named former Gender State Minister Lukia Isanga Nakadama as 3rd Deputy Prime Minister and Minister Without Portfolio, she replaces late Kirunda Kivejinja a fellow Muslim. She is from the greater Iganga district and has wide network of Muslim networks. Political experts believe that the reentry of Isanga to cabinet as 3rd Deputy Prime Minister was to balance the politics of day given that Kadaga who previously served as Speaker had been reduced to 1st Deputy PM and remains a popular figure in the region.

Busoga further saw the entry of NRM Secretary General Justine Lumumba as Minister of General Duties office of the Prime Minister, Mariam Dhoka Babalanda as Minister of Presidency replacing a fellow Musoga Esther Mbayo.

Lukia Isanga Nakadama

 

Sanctions/ ICC factor and historical factors

 

With reported Untied States travel and economic sanctions looming on heads of individuals that were listed by United States government, President Yoweri Museveni hasn’t taken a gamble with those threats. And that is why is so.

General Elly Tumwine the outgoing Secretary Minister is among the names that were listed as to have violated rights of Ugandans during the just concluded elections. Coupled with arrogance in which he exhibited himself to the public, it was prudent that Museveni had to send Tumwine home though he has gone back to his docket of Senior Presidential Advisor on Security.

Gen. Elly Tumwine, security Minister.

Sam Kutesa He is another former Minister whose name has been soiled with bad scandals and publicity for a long time. Kutesa has maintained that he has been a target by his colleagues and detractors because of his closeness to the first family but that hasn’t helped as his name keep on coming in many alleged international scandals. However, sources say Kutesa had opted to retire from mainstream politics and this could be explained why he never contested for his parliamentary seat.

Sam Kutesa

Ruhakana Rugunda popularly known as Ndugu, is the outgoing PM who has finished his five years as Prime Minister smoothly. He leaves the show a clean as he came. He has been appointed as Special Envoy for Special Duties Office of the President. With Rugunda, Kutesa and Tumwine out, this leaves Museveni with only two historical in government and these are Major Generals Kahinda Otafiire incoming Internal Affairs Minister and Jim Muhwezi, Security Minister.

Former Prime Minister Dr Rugunda.

 

Entry of Gen. David Muhoozi the outgoing Chief of Defence Forces has been appointed new State Minister of Internal Affair, he replaces Obiga Kania who has been moved to Lands. Muhoozi’s appointment has received warm welcome among his peers who see him as clean and young man who is likely to being new energies with new strategies in government that is mostly dominated by the old guards.

Gen David Muhoozi

Muhoozi distinguished himself a strict observant of the law and that can explain why his name has never surfaced among those that violated human rights as alleged by US.

 

Kiryowa Kiwanuka also known as KK is another smart chap that comes in as Attorney General. He has previously played behind scenes in major legal battles regarding President Museveni and government.

Kiryowa Kiwanuka

So, the thick neck cabinet which has been named will be associated with power and strength. it is large enough but nothing much will be gotten out of it as described by the two individuals above (Vice President and Prime Minister).

 

 

 

 

 

 



Source – eagle.co.ug

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NUP endorses Nalukwago Judith as Makerere University Guild Presidential aspirant

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Nalukwago Judith

The National Unity Platform (NUP) has endorsed Judith Nalukwago as Makerere University Guild Presidential aspirant.

Nalukwago was endorsed shortly after the young Makerere strike machine; Obed Obedgiu Derrick opted out of the race. Obed announced that he will not be offering himself as a candidate in the highly anticipated Mak guild elections as the new election roadmap is yet to be released.

“Salutations to you friends, I shan’t offer myself as a candidate in the forthcoming elections as was the case earlier. Thanks to all and sundry for the unwavering support,” Obed wrote on Facebook.

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Although Obed had won the flag bearer primaries early before the closure of the University due to the Covid-19 pandemic break-up, he has decided to give way to the fellow people power member Judith Nalukwago to aspire and promises undying support for her.

In a series of posts on her social media handles, Nalukwago announced that she will be running for the position of Guild President. She says that the seat of the Vice Guild President offered her an opportunity to assert her beliefs and push more for affordable education and education reforms.

“The Vice Guild Presidency presented to me a great opportunity to assert those beliefs and push more for affordable education and address systematic injustice against students in general and women in particular. This struggle is always a work in progress,” Nalukwago said.

She added, “The task before us is an uphill one, but the power of our resolve will be the steam that gets our train moving. In the coming days, I will share broadly about this noble aspiration and what I have in plan for us all.”

Makerere University might get a female guild president after seven years. Anne Adeke Ebaju is the Youth Female Representative in Parliament.

The University now has four candidates in the race; Tumusiime Joseph (independent), Ogutti Aaron (independent), Muhwezi Maczxxon (NRM) and the only lady Judith Nalukwago (NUP). However the competition is between the NRM flag bearer and the NUP aspirant as they wait for the date of 30th March to decide the new elect Guild President.



Source – eagle.co.ug

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FDC’s Ibrahim Ssemujju Declares Bid for Speakership

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Kira Municipality Member of Parliament and opposition Forum for Democratic Change – FDC spokesperson Ibrahim Ssemujju Nganda has declared his bid to challenge incumbent Rebecca Kadaga in the race for Speaker of parliament.

Ssemujju, a vocal opposition strongman made his bid public on Tuesday March 9th while appearing on local television, NBS.

Ssemujju becomes the third person gunning for position after reports about deputy speaker Jacob Oulanya also planning to challenge his boss Kadaga.

This story is still being updated.

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Source – thetowerpost.com

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